Scotland vs Brazil: Win and Make History, or Go Home

Predictions

Brazil are heavy favorites, and most people expect the 5-time world champions to do the job here.

Scotland have to win to stay in the tournament, so they will throw everything at it.

• Our prediction: Brazil win 2-0, with their quality showing late on.
• Yahoo Sports: a narrow Brazil win such as 1-0 or 2-0, with under 2.5 goals.
• The Sports Rush: a Brazil win with over 2.5 goals, and Vinicius Junior to score.
• BetMGM: a Brazil win, with Scotland to fail to score.

A simple deal for Scotland: win or go home?

This is the last game of Group C, and the math for Scotland could not be clearer.

They sit on 3 points, and only a win takes them through.

A draw or a loss very likely sends them home on the next flight.

They got there by beating Haiti 1-0 to open their tournament.

Then they lost 0-1 to Morocco, which left them needing a result on the final day.

But what makes it special is that Scotland have never once made it past the group stage at a World Cup.

Beat Brazil and they break that 70-year wall for the very first time.

Why are Brazil the favorites?

Brazil are 5th in the FIFA rankings, and they are 5-time world champions, more than any other country.

So far they have done what good teams do without breaking sweat.

They drew 1-1 with Morocco in a tough opener.

Then they beat Haiti 3-0 to put themselves in control.

Their attack is the scary part, led by forward Vinicius Junior, who already scored against Haiti at this tournament.

The bookmakers see it the same way, with Brazil priced at about -250, which is roughly a 70% chance to win.

Scotland sit way out at about +700, so on paper this is a big mismatch.

You can turn these odds into your preferred format with our odds converter.

Do Scotland have a real chance?

Scotland are 40th in the FIFA rankings, so nobody is calling them favorites.

But a team that must win plays with a freedom that can be hard to face.

Their engine is midfielder Scott McTominay, who plays his club football in Italy (Napoli) and loves to arrive late and score.

Beside him is midfielder John McGinn of Aston Villa, a runner who never stops for 90 minutes.

And their captain is defender Andy Robertson of Liverpool, one of the biggest clubs in Europe.

If those three play their best, Scotland really do have a chance to cause a shock.

Our call: Brazil 2-0

We are going with Brazil 2-0.

Brazil have the better players, the calmer heads, and far less pressure on them.

We think their attack finds a way through in the end.

Still, do not write Scotland off too early in this one.

A team chasing history can surprise anyone for long stretches.

So we expect Brazil to win, but we would not be shocked if Scotland make them sweat for it.

What is at stake?

Brazil and Morocco lead with 4 points each, Scotland have 3, and Haiti have 0.

Finish in the top 2 of the group and you go through to the next round, and a few of the best 3rd-place teams across all groups join them.

For Brazil that means a draw is very likely enough, probably as group winners.

For Scotland there is no safety net at all, because only 3 points will do.

Both final Group C games kick off at the exact same time, this one and Morocco vs Haiti.

So everyone is watching two scoreboards at once, and the order can flip in a single minute.

Where and when can you watch?

The game is on Wednesday June 24, 2026, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

Kickoff is 18:00 (6:00 PM) Eastern time.

You can also see all the details on the match page.

Need a seat for it? Take a look at our World Cup tickets guide.