Tunisia vs Netherlands: Netherlands Eye Top Spot, Tunisia Are Out

Predictions

Almost everyone expects the Netherlands to win this comfortably, and most are backing a big margin.

The Dutch have had a very good ability to score so far, while Tunisia have conceded a lot of goals.

• Our prediction: the Netherlands win 3-0, with Cody Gakpo scoring again.
• Yahoo Sports: a clear Netherlands win, with over 3.25 goals in the game.
• Opta Analyst: their supercomputer gives the Netherlands an 83% chance to win.

What does a win do for the Netherlands?

The Netherlands sit at the top of Group F with 4 points, level with Japan but ahead on goals scored.

A win here would make them group winners and send them straight into the last 16.

Even a draw would almost certainly be enough to go through, so they are in a very strong spot.

They got here by drawing 2-2 with Japan and then thrashing Sweden 5-1.

Why are the Netherlands the favorites?

The Netherlands have one of the deepest squads at the World Cup, and right now they are full of goals.

Their in-form forward is Cody Gakpo, the number 11, who has already scored 2 goals at this tournament.

Next to him, the number 19 Brian Brobbey also scored twice against Sweden, and the captain Virgil van Dijk leads a settled defense.

That is why the bookmakers make the Dutch huge favorites at about -670, while a Tunisia win is a long shot at around +2200.

You can turn these odds into your preferred format with our odds converter.

Can Tunisia leave on a high?

Tunisia are already out of the 2026 World Cup, having lost both of their games and conceded 9 goals.

But there is still pride to play for, and a good performance against a big team would mean a lot.

Their most exciting player is midfielder Hannibal Mejbri, the number 10, who never stops running.

If Tunisia are going to spring a surprise, they will need him and their goalkeeper to have the games of their lives.

Our call: Netherlands 3-0

We are going with the Netherlands 3-0.

The gap in quality is simply too big, and the Dutch are in ruthless scoring form.

We expect Cody Gakpo to add to his goals, with the Netherlands in full control.

Tunisia will fight, but keeping this Dutch attack out for 90 minutes looks beyond them.

What is at stake in Group F?

This is all about first place, because the Netherlands and Japan are both flying and locked together on 4 points.

Whoever wins their final game most likely tops the group, with the other side still going through to the next round.

At the very same time, Japan face Sweden in the other Group F game, so the top spot can swing right to the final whistle.

For Tunisia there is no way back, but they can still play the role of spoiler against a team chasing first place.

If you enjoy watching a top side hit top gear, this is a good place to look.

Where and when can you watch?

The game is on Thursday June 25, 2026, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

Kickoff is 18:00 (6:00 PM) Central time.

You can also see all the details on the match page.

Need a seat for it? Take a look at our World Cup tickets guide.